Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 168.265618 194.511864 224.539974 261.662199 306.630373 359.733043 427.770451
2025-08-17 133.114727 166.250031 208.030502 265.436354 343.627327 448.461993 603.255398
2025-08-24 111.834095 146.979878 194.280034 264.207365 367.823125 520.566627 772.588589
2025-08-31 97.739043 133.647268 184.515547 264.289686 391.032832 593.628115 962.509745
2025-09-07 88.043772 124.498236 178.455583 267.548282 418.193615 677.573198 1196.187029
2025-09-14 77.184484 111.945407 165.144669 256.563573 418.938470 715.828649 1357.633353
2025-09-21 70.635299 105.009298 159.370746 256.575781 438.051797 791.150793 1620.621209
2025-09-28 65.576137 99.734298 155.425193 258.806364 461.248540 879.835569 1949.037121
2025-10-05 63.734850 99.390158 159.514788 275.917224 516.632348 1051.008822 2561.218904
2025-10-12 61.578387 98.218702 161.925348 290.134056 569.186038 1232.456945 3305.585927
2025-10-19 57.528651 93.330831 157.040463 289.120078 588.285439 1339.051299 3888.051214
2025-10-26 54.823180 90.529155 155.629884 294.906200 624.170862 1501.116810 4770.213409
2025-11-02 51.198385 86.087430 151.308478 295.485662 652.106988 1664.876512 5855.767714
2025-11-09 48.285777 82.719592 148.780695 299.922532 692.255394 1887.313817 7454.640927
2025-11-16 45.125117 78.536015 144.065527 298.495920 716.645986 2072.732175 9126.949803
2025-11-23 42.459878 75.029287 140.287048 298.591622 745.547814 2290.062356 11314.504019
2025-11-30 40.385798 72.472007 138.175306 302.378886 786.700475 2577.748834 14489.370088
2025-12-07 37.198580 67.391159 130.057342 289.618611 773.465839 2642.866319 16203.208088
2025-12-14 35.293592 64.758057 127.030020 289.632782 801.718035 2904.458505 20191.612832
2025-12-21 33.741174 62.713338 125.084877 292.222400 839.758210 3238.648608 25910.923526
2025-12-28 33.439865 63.263799 129.125066 312.112989 946.058542 3998.719655 39796.611700
2026-01-04 32.890791 63.225639 131.779235 328.672769 1047.394732 4838.378204 60454.482468
2026-01-11 31.356336 60.895299 128.649666 327.490709 1078.788964 5293.717534 77981.155658